Some people are freaking out about the mid-size bank crisis (as it's been referred to). And other people are like "well, what's the worry? It's really only three banks. I mean, think back to the financial crisis and what we were dealing with then." Well, candidly, they're both right.
What I'm sharing with you today are two different charts that help bring that into perspective and give you a little bit of an insider scoop view of really where this stuff kind of shakes out, numerically.
The first chart is showing you total assets and total bank failures. The green is total assets, which was capping out in 2008 at 400,000 (Millions). In red, the number of bank failures capped out in 2010 at a high of 157 (in terms of its its annual numeric), and then you see it all kind of dropped back down. Then all the sudden the green line jumps up again in 2022. Now we're at 548,500 (Millions). But the flip side is down in the red - we're only looking at three banks. So on the one hand, it was just three banks. On the other hand, it was more assets than was under duress during the financial crisis. Now, this is actual straight line numerics. Even if you put an inflation trigger in there, you're still seeing a pretty significant jump.
What I want also want to show you is a bubble chart that this gentleman created, where the bubble is the size of the bank in terms of its assets, and then the number of bubbles is the number of bank failures. There is a big jump up just like we saw on the other chart, and then it runs back down. And then as you can see, look at all these hundreds of banks in here. But really the big one was Washington Mutual, all the rest of them are quite a bit smaller.
And then we come out to what has been taking place recently. You can see the jump on the assets. But there's only three banks: Signature Bank, Silicon Valley Bank, and First Republic Bank. So again, it's only three banks. They weren't the huge players in the market, but numerically in comparison to previous bank failures, they were pretty significant. Hopefully that doesn't catch and start running amok with more banks, but the number of assets was higher than probably you would have guessed.
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